COURSE OVERVIEW
The 3M Open returns to TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, a par-71 layout measuring just over 7,400 yards that consistently rewards bombers who can attack short par 4s and score aggressively on a birdie-friendly track. The course plays relatively soft in Minnesota's summer humidity, making it one of the more gettable setups on the PGA Tour calendar. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee is a significant differentiator here, as length off the tee opens up scoring opportunities that shorter hitters simply cannot access. However, approach play into medium and short irons is equally critical, as the greens are receptive but demand precision to set up birdie looks. Ball-strikers who can keep the driver in play while generating elite proximity numbers from 125–175 yards have historically dominated this leaderboard. Avoid overthinking the puzzle — TPC Twin Cities is a course where high-ceiling, aggressive tournament golfers tend to separate from the field.
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TOP TARGETS THIS WEEK
Collin Morikawa — $11,400
Morikawa's iron play remains among the elite on Tour, and TPC Twin Cities' demand for precision approach play fits his profile perfectly. He's made consecutive cuts here with solid ball-striking numbers and comes in with strong recent form. Expect mid-to-high ownership around 28–32%, but the upside justifies the chalk exposure in large-field GPP formats.
Tom Kim — $10,200
Kim has quietly posted multiple top-20 finishes this season and his aggressive style translates beautifully at birdie-heavy venues like TPC Twin Cities. His speed off the tee unlocks those short par 4s that separate the leaderboard from the field. Project ownership around 18–22%, making him a strong leverage play against higher-priced options.
Taylor Pendrith — $9,500
One of the longest hitters on Tour, Pendrith is tailor-made for a course that rewards driving distance. He's had flashes of brilliance at similar setups and comes in at a palatable salary. Ownership should settle around 15–19%, offering nice GPP upside without overexposure concerns.
Austin Eckroat — $8,700
Eckroat has quietly built a strong Strokes Gained: Approach profile and plays well on softer Bermuda-adjacent setups in summer conditions. At this salary, he's an excellent cash game anchor and GPP mid-tier piece. Project him at 12–16% ownership.
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VALUE PLAYS
Chesson Hadley — $7,400
Hadley is a seasoned veteran who always seems to show up in Minnesota. His consistent ball-striking and ability to manufacture birdies on a course that rewards aggression make him a sneaky low-owned value. Under 8% ownership expected.
Kevin Yu — $7,100
Yu has improved dramatically in iron play metrics over the past six months and has the game to go low on a birdie-fest track. At this price point, he provides max salary flexibility. Project ownership below 6%, making him a genuine differentiator in GPP formats.
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FADES
Rory McIlroy — $12,500
The chalk is always heavy on Rory regardless of course fit, and TPC Twin Cities hasn't historically been his best venue. Expect 35%+ ownership that significantly limits his leverage value in GPP formats this week.
Hideki Matsuyama — $10,800
Matsuyama's putting can be a liability on mid-speed greens, and his TPC Twin Cities record doesn't inspire confidence. Fading him at high ownership creates necessary differentiation for tournament lineups.
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LINEUP CONSTRUCTION
Stack your lineup with ball-strikers and distance merchants who can chase birdies relentlessly. In GPP formats, pair one high-priced elite with two mid-tier targets like Kim and Pendrith, then fill with values like Hadley or Yu to free up salary. In cash games, prioritize floor and consistent approach play — Morikawa and Eckroat are your anchors.
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