COURSE OVERVIEW

TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois is a birdie-fest that rewards players who can go low in bunches. The par-71 layout stretches just over 7,200 yards and plays as one of the more accessible tracks on the PGA Tour calendar. Soft fairways and receptive greens mean precision iron play and an aggressive putting stroke are the keys to cashing. Strokes Gained: Approach and Strokes Gained: Putting are the two stats that correlate most strongly with success here. The field is typically weaker than marquee events, which creates incredible opportunities for contrarian tournament builds. Wind can be a factor late in the week, but players who can control their distances into the green and convert inside 15 feet will be in business Thursday through Sunday.

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TOP TARGETS THIS WEEK

Denny McCarthy — $9,400

McCarthy is a walking cheat code at TPC Deere Run. He has multiple top-10 finishes here and ranks elite in Strokes Gained: Putting over his last 24 rounds. When the flatstick gets hot at a birdie-friendly course like this, he becomes a near-lock for a weekend leaderboard appearance. His course history alone makes him a must-roster in cash games.

*Ownership projection: High*

Beau Hossler — $8,700

Hossler is a perennial sleeper at this event who consistently posts strong ball-striking numbers on similar Bermuda-adjacent surfaces. He ranks inside the top 30 in Strokes Gained: Approach over his last 36 rounds and has the putting ability to string together low rounds when his game is clicking. At this price, the value is undeniable in GPP builds.

*Ownership projection: Mid*

Callum Tarren — $8,100

A sneaky course-fit play, Tarren excels at tracks that reward precision over power. His iron game has been quietly excellent, and at this salary against a weaker field, he offers significant upside for the price. He has made cuts in three of his last four starts and is trending in the right direction heading into this week.

*Ownership projection: Low*

Taylor Pendrith — $10,200

Pendrith brings power and a hot putter to a course that rewards exactly that combination. He has been on a strong run of form and his ceiling in a low-cut field like this is enormous. He projects as a solid anchor in cash games and a viable tournament piece when stacking around mid-range value.

*Ownership projection: High*

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VALUE PLAYS

Kevin Yu — $7,400

Yu has quietly been one of the better putters on tour over the last three months. At sub-$7,500, he offers genuine tournament equity in a field where making 20-plus birdies over four rounds is the winning formula.

Carl Yuan — $7,200

Yuan is a proven birdie-maker who thrives in lower-field events. His combination of distance and touch around the greens fits TPC Deere Run perfectly, and his salary leaves plenty of room to load up on premium plays elsewhere in your lineup.

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FADES

Justin Thomas — $11,800

Thomas will draw heavy ownership as a big name in a weak field, but his recent putting form has been inconsistent and TPC Deere Run punishes even small misses on the greens.

Sepp Straka — $10,600

Straka has the profile but his course history here is underwhelming. With chalk money flowing his way, the risk-reward is off in GPPs.

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LINEUP CONSTRUCTION

In a birdie-fest like the John Deere Classic, go green-light aggressive. Anchor with one or two high-floor cash game options like McCarthy or Pendrith, then stack in two low-ownership GPP upside plays like Tarren or Yuan. Keep one roster spot dedicated to a pure value dart under $7,500. Avoid loading up on multiple chalk plays at similar price points — differentiation wins tournaments in weak-field events.

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