COURSE OVERVIEW
TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois is one of the most birdie-friendly venues on the PGA Tour calendar, and that distinction defines your entire roster-building strategy this week. The par-71 layout stretches just over 7,200 yards, featuring relatively wide fairways and receptive bentgrass greens that reward aggressive ball-strikers willing to attack pins. Scoring here is routinely in the mid-to-low 60s, meaning you need players who can go low in bunches rather than grind out even-par rounds. Strokes Gained: Approach and Birdie or Better percentage are your most predictive stats at TPC Deere Run. The course sits along the Rock River, introducing some wind variables, but the real separator is iron precision into these soft, scoreable greens. Think bombers who can also spray darts — players who generate high birdie volume while avoiding the big numbers that kill DFS floors.
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TOP TARGETS THIS WEEK
Scottie Scheffler — $12,400
Even at a premium salary, Scheffler is nearly unmissable at a venue where elite ball-striking dominates. He's posted top-10 finishes in two of his last three appearances at TPC Deere Run and leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Total heading into this week. His floor is exceptional, and his ceiling is a 25-under tournament. Ownership projection: High (35–45%)
Davis Thompson — $8,900
Thompson has quietly become one of the more reliable mid-range plays at birdie-fest venues. His approach game ranks inside the top 20 on Tour this season and he's made four consecutive cuts at similar layout types. At this salary, his upside far outweighs the price tag. Ownership projection: Mid (15–22%)
Akshay Bhatia — $9,600
Bhatia thrives on courses where aggression is rewarded, and TPC Deere Run fits his eye perfectly. He generates elite birdie volume and has the power to overpower shorter tracks. With a win already under his belt this season, his confidence is peaking at the right time. Ownership projection: Mid (18–25%)
Austin Eckroat — $7,900
Often overlooked in large-field events, Eckroat is a quiet course fit play here. He's historically strong on bentgrass greens and has finished inside the top 20 at this event twice in the past three years. Strong GPP leverage at this ownership. Ownership projection: Low (8–12%)
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VALUE PLAYS
Ben Griffin — $7,400
Griffin is a sneaky value play who has improved dramatically in Strokes Gained: Approach this season. His course history is limited, but his recent form on similar low-rough, birdie-heavy tracks makes him a legitimate DFS contributor at minimal cost.
Brendan Steele — $7,100
A veteran presence who knows how to score when conditions set up favorably, Steele has made multiple cuts here and brings consistent iron play. Under 5% ownership expected, making him an excellent differentiation piece in large tournaments.
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FADES
Xander Schauffele — $11,800
Despite being a household DFS name, Schauffele has a lukewarm track record at TPC Deere Run and arrives with heavy chalk ownership. Fading him creates immediate leverage in GPP formats.
Shane Lowry — $9,200
Lowry's game profile — heavy reliance on scrambling and wedge work — doesn't align well with TPC Deere Run's demand for sustained iron excellence. Expect mid-range ownership at a salary that's hard to justify given the course mismatch.
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LINEUP CONSTRUCTION
In tournaments with extreme scoring like the John Deere Classic, prioritize ceiling over floor in GPP formats. Lock in one elite anchor like Scheffler, stack two mid-range birdie merchants around him, and spend down aggressively with value plays in the $7,000–$7,500 range. Avoid over-rostering chalk — differentiation wins here.
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